Friends — Activity — Oleksi Tkachenko — letYourMoneyGrow.com

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic STADA (SAZ, DE0007251803) – Sell short but not yet in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Stada turned out to be a covered stock,

Bain Capital und Cinven try to acquire it once again. The new offer price is set to €66.25 but now they need only 63% of shareholders agree.

Additionally, there are Hedge Fonds in the game.

Thus close position at €65.3
Though from rational point of view the price shall not exceed $66.25, there mig…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic STADA (SAZ, DE0007251803) – Sell short but not yet in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

I sold short at €64!
By the way, the news that Stada’s CEO and CFO resign is somehow left unnoticed.
But this is another good reason to go short!

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic Buy Gold and Silver in the forum Bonds, FX, Commodities, Derivatives, etc 9 years, 4 months ago

Silver becomes interesting again. However, I would not buy yet because there is a risk that it will further fall if USD gets stronger.

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic Wheat is low: trend reversal is not clear so far but still in the forum Bonds, FX, Commodities, Derivatives, etc 9 years, 4 months ago

After several month of awaiting my wheat position started to germinate! 🙂
The reason behind is likely a cold summer in Russia.

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic Wheat is low: trend reversal is not clear so far but still in the forum Bonds, FX, Commodities, Derivatives, etc 9 years, 4 months ago

After several month of awaiting my wheat position started to germinate! 🙂

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic STADA (SAZ, DE0007251803) – Sell short but not yet in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

I guessed the significant price levels surprisingly precise. Now the stock reached €64 (and then fell a little bit below). Bain Capital and Cinven are going to make a new acquisition offer.
The previous acquisition prices was €66. Likely it will be at least as high but not much higher. So there is about €3 or €4 growth potential and (from recent…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic Zink short (in near future) in the forum Bonds, FX, Commodities, Derivatives, etc 9 years, 4 months ago

BTW, by nickel the situation is inverse: low spot prices and high contango. So Nickel long (for me it is already the case) and Zinc short is a market-neutral pair trading.

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic Zink short (in near future) in the forum Bonds, FX, Commodities, Derivatives, etc 9 years, 4 months ago

Reading financial news I came up to this article, in which they affirm the Zink price will grow first of all due to growth in automotive.

So far, so good but let us look at the forward curve. It is inverse, which means that the market anticipates the price drop!

So I gotta go short, e.g. with this ETC.
Either now or await till the price…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic STADA (SAZ, DE0007251803) – Sell short but not yet in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

As I expected, STADA has reached €62. On 03.08.2017 they will publish Q2 2017 report. Recall that the market can react irrationally!
So for conservative traders I recommend to wait for this reaction … and if stock jumps then go short (unless the report turns out to be really super-duper).

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic Destination Maternity Corp. (DEST, US25065D1000) is for a gambler-investor in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Before yesterday, as the stock dropped -33%, this company was unknown to me. Now I am an investor, however, a gambler-investor, as Paul Samuelson wrote in some of his papers.

During recent years the company was making losses.
However, Destination Maternity Corp. is not an start-up, it is a company with a long history, in which it already…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic Destination Maternity Corp. (DEST, US25065D1000) is for a gambler-investor in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Before yesterday, as the stock dropped -33%, this company was unknown to me. Now I am an investor, however, a gambler-investor, as Paul Samuelson wrote in some of his papers.

During recent years the company was making losses.
However, Destination Maternity Corp. is not an start-up, it is a company with a long history, in which it already…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic Destination Maternity Corp. (DEST, US25065D1000) is for a gambler-investor in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Before yesterday, as the stock dropped -33%, this company was unknown to me. Now I am an investor, however, a gambler-investor, as Paul Samuelson wrote in some of his papers.

During recent years the company was making losses.
However, Destination Maternity Corp. is not an start-up, it is a company with a long history, in which it already…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic Cloudera (CLDR, US18914U1007) is a good company and costs 7% less than by IPO in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Bought it today at $15.69!
It may continue falling but in long term it has a potential to become a tenbagger!

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic GoPro (US38268T1034) looks attractive – 2016.12.17 in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Gut recover but further growth is in question. So I would sell

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic STADA (SAZ, DE0007251803) – Sell short but not yet in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

STADA is the leading German producer of generics. Its stock intensively grew last year since Bain und Cinven wanted to take STADA over. Now the acquisition is failed and Bain und Cinven are not allowed to try again for one year (unless BaFin – German analog of SEC and STADA itself agree).

As expected, STADA’s stock dropped … but suddenly got…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic Cloudera (CLDR, US18914U1007) is a good company and costs 7% less than by IPO in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

Investors can buy now, speculators should wait till the price again recoils from $16.00

Telling you that Cloudera is a good company I know what I am talking about. Namely, as I tried to build a hadoop cluster I found the Hadoop-suite from Cloudera the most usable.
However, so far it unprofitable: http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=C…[Read more]

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic GoPro (US38268T1034) looks attractive – 2016.12.17 in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

The stock is again looking attractive ($7.77) but the most cautious investors (like me) should set the buy-limit near $7.25

Vasily Nekrasov replied to the topic GoPro (US38268T1034) looks attractive – 2016.12.17 in the forum American Stocks 9 years, 4 months ago

The stock is again looking attractive.

Vasily Nekrasov started the topic PUT option on (overvalued) Adidas – Analysis before buying in the forum European (in particular German) Stocks 9 years, 5 months ago

@oleksi-tkachenko