Finanzmesse 2017 in Stuttgart – kurzer Bericht

Wir haben Finanz 2017 Messe in Stuttgart besucht. Begrüßt wurden die Besucher von einem Teufel, und das ist sehr symbolisch: erstens „Lasst, die ihr tradet, alle Hoffnung fahren“  und zweitens, passt teuflisch darauf, was Euch angeboten bzw. angedreht wird. Allgemeiner Eindruck ist aber positiv: es gab zwar [wie immer] viel Müll aber auch gab es mehrere Innovative und Interessante Angebote.
Finanzmesse 2017 in Stuttgart - Teufel Continue reading "Finanzmesse 2017 in Stuttgart – kurzer Bericht"

My PUT Option on NVIDIA – a case study of nearly perfect trading decision

Exuberant growth of NVIDIA stock price in the end of 2016 due to deep learning hypeNVIDIA stock (NVDA, US67066G1040) has recently exploded. Though the profits also significantly grew, the stock bubble is definitely overproportional to fundamentals. Most likely this is due the deep learning hype. So I bought a put option on NVIDIA and even if it expires worthless, I still consider it as a nearly perfect trade and explain why.

Continue reading "My PUT Option on NVIDIA – a case study of nearly perfect trading decision"

Trump trade: case study of DAX intraday on 09.11.2016

Donald Trump's victory on 09.11.2016 was likely as surprising for markets as Brexit was. However, the expected (and factual) aftermath was completely different. This case is good to learn when you should urgently sell and when notIntraday sketch of DAX on 9.11.2016 Continue reading "Trump trade: case study of DAX intraday on 09.11.2016"

Oil WTI short: why it will likely fall (29.09.2016)

OPEC agrees on oil cut at Algiers meeting ... oil price jumped more than 6% ... a good opportunity to short WTI!

  • OPEC members may agree on whatever they want but it is unclear how they will control the agreement and penalize violators.
  • As soon as price grows the production of shale oil in USA will be increased.
  • The current Brent price is $49.13 and WTI costs $47.69. Respectively, the spread is $1.44, which is pretty narrow (normally it is about $2) so it will likely widen, thus it is better to short WTI, not Brent.
    Yes, there we times as the spread was tighter and even negative, but by those times both WTI and Brent tended to fall.

Update 04.10.2016
So far the oil price keeps growing though I was right with shorting WTI, not Brent, since the latter grew more intensively; the spread is now normal, about $2.
Today it was a price dip, so I halved my position with a minimal loss and keep about 1.5% of my trading capital in WTI short.

Two opportunities on German stock market: K+S und Lufthansa (27.09.2016)

K+S, a German producer of кalium salt, has reached its historical minimum, falling intraday below €16. .
Continue reading "Two opportunities on German stock market: K+S und Lufthansa (27.09.2016)"