Häusle oder Aktien? – Die Antwort gibt es aber man muss immer adhoc berechnen

Am häufigsten kommen zwei Empfehlungsarten von "Experten" vor: entweder in die Aktien zu investieren weil sie eine höhere erwartete Rendite bringen oder die Immobilien zu kaufen weil die stabiler sind.
Beide Aussagen sind lediglich ein kleiner Teil der komplizierten Wahrheit. In diesem Post zeigen wir anhand eines Beispiels, wie man - mittels Zahlen und Berechnungen - eine mehr oder weniger vollständige Antwort für seinen persönlichen Fall bekommen kann.
Sehr hilfreich dafür ist das kostenlose Toolset von letYourMoneyGrow.com
Continue reading "Häusle oder Aktien? – Die Antwort gibt es aber man muss immer adhoc berechnen"

Interbreeding R and Python to Give Birth to an Optimal German Mortgage

In many countries a mortgage shall be completely redeemed to the end of its duration and may be refinanced anytime. In USA one additionally can foreclose his mortgage by mailing his house-keys to a bank. In Germany is different.
First of all, one may completely refinance a mortgage only after 10 years (otherwise one have to pay Vorfälligkeitsentschädigung - a compensation to a bank for missed interest). But taking a long-term mortgage (20 or 30 years) implies a higher mortgage rate, thus it is not uncommon to take several consequent 10- (or sometimes even 5-) year mortgages. In order to optimize mortgage costs / rate change risk relation one can take several submortgages with different durations. Last but not least there is no requirement to amortize a mortgage completely: normally one refinances the residual debt (Restschuld) with a follow-up mortgage (Anschlussfinanzierung).
In this post we discuss the challenges of mortgage optimization and show how two popular programming languages - R and Python - can help us together
Continue reading "Interbreeding R and Python to Give Birth to an Optimal German Mortgage"

JuniorDepot28 – Catching-Up the Target CAGR and Beating the DAX

DAX, the German main stock index, fell on the 2nd lockdown in October but quickly recovered in November 2020. Elle made use of this movement, both achieving her target rate of return and beating the DAX. Continue reading "JuniorDepot28 – Catching-Up the Target CAGR and Beating the DAX"

Pfizer/BioNtech and Covid-impacted stocks on 9/11/2020 and afterwards – yet another market irrationality

A pig will find the dirt (Russian proverb). The market will find reasons to grow. To fall as well. It is worth documenting (and periodically recalling) what happened on 9/11/2000 (as well as shortly before and after this date).

In the end of October the German market was not in the mood, upset by the 2nd (partial) lockdown. However, after a healthy DAX correction, the greed got started to dominate again. On November the 9th two really(?) good news arrived: first the preliminary victory of Joe Biden, followed by 90% efficiency of Pfizer/BioNtech vaccine.
Continue reading "Pfizer/BioNtech and Covid-impacted stocks on 9/11/2020 and afterwards – yet another market irrationality"

JuniorDepot27 – Profitable but Still Worse than DAX, so far…

Last weeks Elle was inactive, patiently waiting for an opportunity to buy cheaply. It came with a "common" September correction. Still Elle stays very cautious because this time the October (the most volatile month on average) will definitely be extremely volatile due to President elections in USA. Continue reading "JuniorDepot27 – Profitable but Still Worse than DAX, so far…"

Verse über COVID-19 Impfstoff Rennen – das Rezept von Baba Jaga im Gedicht

Immer wieder wird es berichtet, Impfstoff gegen Coronavirus sei da. Damit kann man gut News traden aber man muss verstehen, dass wir ein mehr oder weniger geprüftes Mittel im besten Fall erst in ein paar Jahren bekommen werden. Continue reading "Verse über COVID-19 Impfstoff Rennen – das Rezept von Baba Jaga im Gedicht"

JuniorDepot26 – A Calm Before the Storm

Elle's portfolio stagnates, slipping slightly to loss due to the USD weakness. We were risk averse and missed the (exuberant) growth of the last month. However, after the publication of macroeconomic data the market seems to start oping its eyes. Continue reading "JuniorDepot26 – A Calm Before the Storm"

The Epic Rise and Fall of Wirecard AG – The Money Management View

Wirecard is a German company, which provides e-payment solutions. It grew very rapidly but the fall was even quicker. This case perfectly demonstrates the advantages of diversification and money management. Continue reading "The Epic Rise and Fall of Wirecard AG – The Money Management View"

JuniorDepot24 – A Gradual Recovery

Elle's timing during the Corona-Crisis was premature and lead to a significant drawdown. However, her depot recovers gradually. We accumulate cash, awaiting the 2nd wave of COVID-19. Continue reading "JuniorDepot24 – A Gradual Recovery"