Having lost the option to invest in ETCs and inverse ETFs, Elle is forced to concentrate on the stockpicking. So far, the result is (a bit) negative but we are quite optimistic for the long run. Continue reading "JuniorDepot22 – Portfolio Down (a bit) but Mood Up"
Elle, a 9-year old girl, intended to make at least €220 profit to the end of 2019. She made "only" €215.31 due to an operational mistake, caused by the interface re-design by her broker DeGiro. Continue reading "JuniorDepot21 – Annual Goal for 2019 is Slightly Missed due to Operational Risk"
Elle, a nine years old girl, who manages her wealth with our help, has hit (ahead of time) her target for the 2nd year: to earn at least 220 EUR.
In future she has to alter her investing strategy a little bit since on the one hand her broker DeGiro introduces flat-fee trading with American stocks but on the other hand will compensate the negative rates only upto 2500 EUR cash. Continue reading "JuniorDepot20 – Second Intermediate Goal is [Almost] Reached"
eight nine years old girl has reached an excellent investment result in August 2019 despite the market dip. Discipline, diversification and of course some luck were ingredients of her success. Continue reading "JuniorDepot19 – Excellent Performance Despite The Market Dip"
During a high-turbulence market regime it often makes sense to fix the profit quickly. However, Elle's broker DeGiro provides fee-free trades with the following ETFs only once per months. Elle's trading capital is relatively small so far (€2165), thus paying €2 trading fee shall be avoided whenever possible. So I taught her to lock the profit in long position by means of the respective inverse ETF! Continue reading "JuniorDepot18 – Hedging Profit by a Long-Short Lock-in"
Elle continues growing her wealth, reaching the CAGR of 11.50%. Now she is to learn that keeping a good pace in the long run implies making pauses. Due to political risks and economic concerns in Europe we have, so far, closed all positions in Elle's portfolio.
Continue reading "JuniorDepot17 – Fixing Profit for a while"
A First Course in Quantitative Finance by Thomas Mazzoni was published a year ago. It provides a thorough analysis of such topics as Local Volatility, derivative pricing via PDEs (and solution of theses PDEs) as well as a good insight of Levy processes. Although it might be too big and too general for the 1st course, it is definitely worth reading as the 1.5* course in quantitative finance. Continue reading "Reading A First Course in Quantitative Finance by Thomas Mazzoni"
The markets continue falling as the trade war between China and US escalates. But it did not affect Elle's portfolio. Moreover, she has even made some money with an inverse ETF!
Continue reading "JuniorDepot16 – Markets Fall but Not Elle’s Wealth"
Mattel, a company that owns Barbie brand, currently experiences bad times and suffers losses. However, this may be irrelevant for tactical traders, esp. those who rely exclusively on technical analysis. But now they shall be strongly disappointed too: MAT stock has drawn a pattern, which can be named doubleF*ck.
Continue reading "MATtel Stock – Barbie Reaches Puberty and Draws a DoubleF*uck Chart Pattern"
Malkiel affirms that the stock returns follow the random walk. Lo and MacKinlay retort they do not.
In this post I show how a mean-reverting process can be efficiently disguised as a random walk. Most likely, the market does follow a similar disguise-pattern (at least sometimes). Continue reading "Reproducing a Pseudo-Random Walk down the Wall Street"