JuniorDepot19 – Excellent Performance Despite The Market Dip

Elle, a eight nine years old girl has reached an excellent investment result in August 2019 despite the market dip. Discipline, diversification and of course some luck were ingredients of her success. Continue reading "JuniorDepot19 – Excellent Performance Despite The Market Dip"

JuniorDepot18 – Hedging Profit by a Long-Short Lock-in

During a high-turbulence market regime it often makes sense to fix the profit quickly. However, Elle's broker DeGiro provides fee-free trades with the following ETFs only once per months. Elle's trading capital is relatively small so far (€2165), thus paying €2 trading fee shall be avoided whenever possible. So I taught her to lock the profit in long position by means of the respective inverse ETF! Continue reading "JuniorDepot18 – Hedging Profit by a Long-Short Lock-in"

JuniorDepot12 – DAX, Silver, Oil: pessimistic end of year and optimistic sentiment for future

By Elle's portfolio we implicitly target the CAGR of 6%. Alas, this year the CAGR turned out to be -24.7%! Especially our recent portfolio restructuring (sell Silver and buy DAX and WTI Oil) was not good.
Still we are better than a passive savings plan in DAX (this would have a CAGR of -30.7%) and look optimistically in future. Especially pleasant was Elle's reaction on the (temporary) drawdown: calm and stoic. This a necessarily trait for a growing Warren Buffet.
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JuniorDepot11 – Speculating with DAX and WTI Oil

Elle, a 8-years old girl, who learns to manage her wealth, got started to trade more and more intensively. During the current market turbulence it actually makes sense. This time we speculate with an oil-ETC and learn the nuances of commodity trading. Continue reading "JuniorDepot11 – Speculating with DAX and WTI Oil"

JuniorDepot10 – Speculating Gold and Getting Benefits of Diversification

This time Elle, a 7-year old girl, first bought a physical gold ETC but then quickly sold it and bought an ETF on DAX. Concretely this trade was a bit premature but the portfolio diversification (in particular by means of precious metals) still brought benefits. Continue reading "JuniorDepot10 – Speculating Gold and Getting Benefits of Diversification"

JuniorDepot8 – Buying Silver ETC and DAX ETF

Elle, a 7-year old girl, continues to grow her wealth. Recently she has bought a silver ETC and a DAX ETF (the former a little bit prematurely, the latter pretty optimally). Continue reading "JuniorDepot8 – Buying Silver ETC and DAX ETF"

JuniorDepot7a – Selling Silver and Buying DAX ETF

According to our plan, we sold a silver ETC near the upper line of a clearly visible channel. Today we used the DAX correction to re-buy an ETF on it. Continue reading "JuniorDepot7a – Selling Silver and Buying DAX ETF"

JuniorDepot5 – Learning Pain of Loss with GoPro Action

Elle, a 7-year old girl, insisted last month on investing in GoPro. Now she has to learn the pain of losing money.
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Volatility Clustering and Piecewise Homoscedasticity – Part I – Indices

This is a well-known fact that the stock prices are virtually unpredictable. However, stock volatilities can more or less be forecasted! In 2012 Vasily Nekrasov scrutinized about 3000 asset price time series, obtained from yahoo.finance. Approximately in half of cases the volatility was piecewise-stationary and thus predicatable. We put online the technical record from 2012 and start publishing the visualized results Continue reading "Volatility Clustering and Piecewise Homoscedasticity – Part I – Indices"